Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001600 0.001664 0.001729 0.001802 0.001881 0.001965 0.002059
2025-07-20 0.001490 0.001581 0.001678 0.001791 0.001919 0.002060 0.002231
2025-07-27 0.001423 0.001533 0.001655 0.001800 0.001972 0.002171 0.002424
2025-08-03 0.001358 0.001480 0.001617 0.001787 0.001994 0.002242 0.002572
2025-08-10 0.001319 0.001452 0.001606 0.001800 0.002044 0.002348 0.002772
2025-08-17 0.001275 0.001415 0.001579 0.001791 0.002063 0.002414 0.002922
2025-08-24 0.001232 0.001376 0.001548 0.001772 0.002068 0.002458 0.003046
2025-08-31 0.001218 0.001372 0.001557 0.001805 0.002139 0.002597 0.003322
2025-09-07 0.001195 0.001354 0.001548 0.001812 0.002176 0.002689 0.003538
2025-09-14 0.001163 0.001323 0.001521 0.001794 0.002176 0.002726 0.003669
2025-09-21 0.001130 0.001290 0.001490 0.001768 0.002162 0.002742 0.003764
2025-09-28 0.001105 0.001267 0.001470 0.001755 0.002165 0.002782 0.003908
2025-10-05 0.001061 0.001219 0.001417 0.001696 0.002101 0.002714 0.003849
2025-10-12 0.001041 0.001201 0.001403 0.001690 0.002114 0.002770 0.004031
2025-10-19 0.001029 0.001192 0.001400 0.001700 0.002151 0.002868 0.004314
2025-10-26 0.001009 0.001172 0.001383 0.001689 0.002154 0.002910 0.004490
2025-11-02 0.000999 0.001166 0.001382 0.001701 0.002194 0.003018 0.004833
2025-11-09 0.000983 0.001150 0.001368 0.001693 0.002201 0.003067 0.005054
2025-11-16 0.000964 0.001130 0.001349 0.001676 0.002194 0.003090 0.005214
2025-11-23 0.000962 0.001133 0.001361 0.001706 0.002263 0.003264 0.005816
2025-11-30 0.000953 0.001126 0.001357 0.001712 0.002294 0.003366 0.006264
2025-12-07 0.000936 0.001108 0.001339 0.001695 0.002285 0.003388 0.006473
2025-12-14 0.000918 0.001088 0.001318 0.001672 0.002263 0.003379 0.006586